Final Survation MRP: Labour Gain

Survation, which has consistently predicted that the Labour Party will take Mid Sussex, have published their final MRP poll. This still shows that Labour will gain Mid Sussex-but by a smaller margin.

They put Labour on 29.8% – down from 30.6% in their last poll. Meanwhile the Conservatives are on 29.3% in their latest research, up from 26.1%. The Liberal Democrats are now on 25.1%, up from 23.6% in Survation’s last MRP.

Survation also state that there is a 51% chance that Labour will win in Mid Sussex, a 37% chance that the Conservatives will win, and a 12% chance that the Lib Dems will take the seat.

It is worth noting that whilst Survation has consistently shown this result, it is very much an outlier (despite but Labour would have you believe); most of the other polls predict a Lib Dem victory, hence why we advise voting Lib Dem if you wish to prevent the Tory taking the seat.