Who’s winning in Mid Sussex #2

Our next prediction for Mid Sussex comes courtesy of YouGov. Their most recent recent MRP (Multilevel Regression and Poststratification) model from YouGov (dated April 3 2024), like the Electoral Calculus prediction, predicts that the Conservatives will hold Mid Sussex. They predict that the result in Mid Sussex will be as follows:

ConsLabourLib DemGreenReformOutcome
33%27%21%9%11%Cons hold

YouGov state that the method used for this projection uses the same statistical method which correctly predicted the 2017 and 2019 UK General Elections.1

Like Electoral Calculus, this data suggests that Labour will take second place, but that the gap between the two will be greater.

Once again, should you be seeking to vote tactically to remove the Conservative, your vote should probably go to the Labour Party, Dave Rowntree.

  1. https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49061-yougov-mrp-labour-now-projected-to-win-over-400-seats ↩︎

Campaign Literature: Liberal Democrats #1

Campaign Literature: Labour #1

Campaign Literature: Conservatives #1

Who’s winning in Mid Sussex #1

Our first prediction is courtesy of Electoral Calculus, which claims to have made “the most accurate pre-poll prediction of the December 2019 General Election.”1

Electoral Calculus predicts that the Conservatives in Mid Sussex will hold the seat. According to their calculations2, the Conservatives will gain 29.7% of votes (down from a 48.3% share in 2019), the Lib Dems will gain 26.7% of the vote (down from 28.9% of the vote), and Labour will gain 29.1% of the vote (up from 18.0%).

According to this prediction, whilst the Conservatives will hold the seat, Labour will come incredibly close to taking the seat. Should you be inclined to vote tactically in order to prevent the Conservatives winning, on the basis of this prediction, your X be given to Dave Rowntree, the Labour candidate.

Screenshot

  1. Source: https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/services_casestudy_ge2019.html ↩︎
  2. Source: https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/calcwork23.py?seat=Sussex+Mid ↩︎

Who’s standing in Mid Sussex #1

A quick look at the candidates standing for the three main political parties in Mid Sussex:

Kristy Adams – Conservative Party

Kristy Adams, the Conservative candidate, resides in Haywards Heath and has a strong background in the building industry. She attended local schools and has served as a Mid Sussex District Councillor. Kristy is committed to protecting green spaces, supporting local businesses, and enhancing community facilities. Her business experience drives her focus on economic growth and efficient public services. Kristy’s deep roots in the community reflect her dedication to addressing local issues effectively.

Discover more at Mid Sussex Conservatives.

Dave Rowntree – Labour Party

Dave Rowntree is the Labour candidate for Mid Sussex, notable for his career as the drummer of Blur and his work as a County Councillor. A long-time resident of the area, Dave has deep ties to Sussex. He is passionate about improving local healthcare, education, and public transport. Dave is committed to addressing climate change and promoting social justice, aiming to bring positive change to the community.

For more information, visit Mid Sussex Labour.

Alison Bennett – Liberal Democrats

Alison Bennett, the Liberal Democrat candidate, lives in Hassocks and has significant experience in local government. She attended school in Sussex and is actively involved in community service. Alison is dedicated to environmental sustainability, healthcare, and education. Her campaign focuses on implementing green policies, enhancing mental health services, and supporting educational opportunities for young people. Alison’s deep connection to the area informs her commitment to transparent and progressive governance.

Learn more at Mid Sussex Liberal Democrats.

All of the above was drawn from the candidates’ official websites. Profile pictures sourced from candidates’ x.com accounts.

Welcome to MidSussex.org

Welcome to MidSussex.org – a website set up to keep a watchful eye on the 2024 General Election in the Mid Sussex constituency.

Wagamama: It’s a yes from me!

Wagamama: It’s a yes from me!

As a person with T1D super powers, I carefully count any carbs I consume so that I can calculate the appropriate dose of insulin to give myself. When I’m at home this is usually straightforward. My wonderful wife, Claire, enjoys cooking and prepares delicious meals from scratch. Claire tells me the ingredients, I input these into my carb counting app, Nutracheck Calorie Counter, and hey presto, I know exactly the number of carbs I’m about to eat so I can accurately calculate the amount of insulin to give myself.

On the rare occasion that we eat out, however, carb counting can often be problematic. I sometimes get excited when I find the dish I’m about to eat listed on Nutracheck – only to find that the number of calories is listed, but the carb field is blank. Whilst many restaurants have nutritional information on their website (or the Glass Onion app), this tends to be very limited and generally they do not list the carb content. I find this absolutely infuriating.

Yesterday, Claire and I went out for dinner to Wagamama in Colchester. I was absolutely delighted to discover that the menu pages of their website have the full nutritional information of all of their dishes – including the carb content! This enabled me to plan my insulin dose and manage my blood glucose levels efficiently. Add to this that my favourite Yaki Udon has only 59g of carbs, and Wagamama is a win, win as far as I’m concerned.

It really does make the life of a T1D so much easier when the carb content of food is readily available in restaurants. With the number of people with Type 1 Diabetes increasing, this information is going to become increasingly relevant in the future. I wonder if I should start a campaign to encourage restaurants to publish this information?

For now, though, if you are blessed with the T1D super power, I highly recommend choosing Wagamama the next time you’re looking for somewhere to eat out!

How I manage my T1D: an overview

Over the coming weeks I intend to publish a number of posts focusing in detail on each aspect of my diabetes management, which I hope will be useful and of interest to others with Type 1 Diabetes, and also to those who support people with T1D. This post is an overview, intended as an introduction.

Measuring my blood glucose:

Central to the life of someone with T1D is an efficient means to measure blood glucose levels. In order to do this I use a FreeStyle Libre 2, which I regard as a tremendous bit of kit. I apply (or, to be more accurate, my wife Claire applies!) a new sensor to the back of my arm every two weeks, using the supplied applicator. These sensors, in other guises (Zoe and Lingo to name just two), are advertised all over the internet these days, and the accompanying videos always stress that applying the sensor doesn’t hurt. I can attest that (most of the time at least!) the application does not hurt. The applicator simply shoots a tiny filament into my arm, which then measures the glucose levels in my interstitial fluid which is, apparently, the fluid that surrounds my body’s cells. The sensor then transmits this data to the LibreLink app on my iPhone, which gives me a real time reading of my blood glucose levels. The app has many other features, which I will cover in more detail in a later post. One that I will mention here, however, is the alarm, which is really useful for letting me know when my blood sugar is very low (particularly important overnight).

Having begun my diabetic journey relying on finger prick checks, I cannot stress enough just how significant the Freestyle Libre is. It is truly a revolutionary tool, and I cannot imagine life without it. A friend once said to me:

Measuring your blood sugar with a traditional meter is like driving a car at nighttime with the headlights off. Every so often you turn your headlights on and see how you’re doing, but then you’re thrust back into the darkness and have no idea how you are getting on. Using a Freestyle Libre is like driving at night with the headlights on. You can see exactly where you are, how your journey is progressing and foresee any action that you may need to take.

I cannot recommend the FreeStyle Libre more highly.

The home screen of the LibreLink app (with XDrip4iOS Live Activity visible in the Dynamic Island),

Monitoring my blood glucose:

Whilst the LibreLink app is great, I monitor my blood glucose using XDrip4iOS. This is an unreleased app for iPhone which takes data from the FreeStyle Libre, via the official LibreLinkUp system, and makes it even more useful for me. I particularly value the following features of this app:

  • Live Activities: this is a very recent, but massively significant, addition to the app. XDrip4iOS enables me to have my blood sugar constantly displayed in the Dynamic Island of my phone. It also displays a reading, plus a graph, on the “always on” locked display of my phone. This means that when my phone is on my desk in front of me, I can see at a glance my blood sugar. This is incredibly helpful for managing my diabetes.
  • Nightstand widget: this is another recent addition to the app, and allows me to add a widget to my phone when it is charging overnight which displays my blood sugar really clearly. This is really useful when I wake up at night and wonder how my blood sugar is doing.
  • Fast rise/fast fall notifications: whilst I use the very low alarm in the original LibreLink app (but not the low or high alarms), XDrip4iOS gives me silent notifications when my blood sugar is rising or falling quickly. I find these very helpful.
  • Feed to Nightscout: Nightscout is another brilliant tool which I barely scrape the surface of. At its most basic, it is an online tool and graph for displaying blood sugar levels. It is, of course, far more than that – much, much more, in fact. XDrip4iOS has the facility to feed data directly into Nightscout, simply by filling in the relevant fields in the settings.

XDrip4iOS is not the easiest app to get hold of. It’s not available through the App Store. The only way to get hold of it is to build it yourself from the code (which is not actually that difficult, and described in detail here) or to hang around on the official Facebook page and wait for a generous person to start a private beta to which they are happy to invite others. I build the app myself, and aim to release a private beta to visitors to my site in the coming weeks. Keep an eye on the blog if that might be of interest to you.

Home screen of XDrip4iOS (I’ve recently been in an area with poor signal, hence the dotted portion of the line).

Monitoring my blood glucose on my watch:

One of the advantages of feeding my blood glucose from XDrip4iOS to Nightscout is that this makes the data accessible from other tools. I use Nightscout to feed my blood glucose to my watch. For this I use a Garmin Epix 2 with the GearMin V3 watch face. I have customised the watch face to show my current (up to ten minutes ago) blood glucose, two trend arrows, the change since the last reading, and how many minutes ago the data was updated, plus a graph across the full width of the display. I can also see the key data on the screensaver of my watch. All very useful!

I have also added the Xrip+/Spike/Nightscout Datafield to the activity screens which enable me to see my blood glucose when I am running, which is really valuable tool when I am exercising. I have tried using Nightscout to feed this field, but have found this pretty unreliable. In the same way that I build XDrip4iOS from code, I also build a similar app, Spike, to feed the data field, which is probably overkill, but does seem to work. Spike doesn’t seem to be being developed anymore, however, so I’m not sure if this is a long term solution.

My Garmin Epic 2 with the GearMin V3 watch face.

Controlling my blood glucose:

In common with all people with Type 1 Diabetes, I am insulin dependent. My body does not produce its own insulin, which is needed to unlock the cells in my body to absorb insulin. I therefore need to inject myself with insulin.

I use two types of insulin:

  • Levemir: this is a slow release insulin which I take twice a day to keep my background blood glucose steady. My regular dose is around 7 units at 8am and the same at 8pm, dependent on my activity levels. I find that Levemir works well, but is not particularly stable: should it get a little warm it can be destroyed and is therefore useless. Since I take a relatively small dose it can go off before I finish a cartridge.
  • Fiasp: this is a very fast acting insulin which I take when I consume carbohydrates, at a ratio of between 10 and 15 units for every 10 grams of carbs I have, depending on the time of day. Since Fiascp acts so quickly I find it to be an excellent way to control my blood glucose.

I dose my insulin using Novopen Echo pens (I believe that these have been superseded). I opted for these pens since I believe they are better for the environment, since there is less plastic waste than a standard insulin pen, and they also allow me to give 0.5 unit doses, which is really effective in controlling my levels.

If I need to increase my blood sugar, because I am having a hypo or am close to having a hypo, I use three products to assist:

  • Jelly Babies: my preferred product, since they are easy to buy, easy to portion (each Bassett’s Jelly Baby contains about 7g of carbs), and taste nice!
  • Dextro Energy: I always carry several packets of these with me, and always have a pack in my pocket. They’re great because each tablet contains about 3g of carbs, and are very fast acting (more so than Jelly Babies). The disadvantage is that they taste pretty horrible!
  • Coca-Cola: I have a stash of 150 ml cans of Coke at home (each containing 16 grams of carbs). I use these either in emergencies, when my blood sugar is falling dramatically and I need an urgent hit, or if my blood sugar crashes when I am running on the treadmill. The benefit is that the sugar hits very quickly, but the disadvantage is that it can cause a rapid crash, which means that my levels will need careful monitoring after drinking a can, and probably a further carb boost.
This is what a 150ml can of Coke looks like…!

Conclusion:

This, then, is pretty much my entire diabetes management regimen. I wouldn’t claim that it is perfect, but it works for me. It has resulted in an A1C of 5.7% (39 mml/mol) which I understand is pretty much that of a non-diabetic.

I publish this here in the hope that the information might be helpful and interesting to others, but as ever, this is most definitely not to be construed as medical advice or guidance.

If you have any thoughts or would like to share your own diabetes management strategy, please do comment below.

D Day: My Diagnosis Story

D Day: My Diagnosis Story

Introduction

At the age of 41, I was blindsided by a diagnosis that would change everything. Type 1 Diabetes wasn’t a condition I had ever expected to confront, especially considering my generally healthy lifestyle. Yet, on an otherwise perfectly ordinary October day, I found myself grappling with the shock of a diagnosis and embarking on a journey I never anticipated.

In this personal narrative, I invite you to join me as I recount the story of my diagnosis. From the subtle signs that initially raised concern to the pivotal moment of diagnosis, I’ll share the highs and lows of embarking on a new life with chronic illness.

Whether you’re facing a similar diagnosis or simply seeking insight into the journey of others, I hope my narrative serves as a source of encouragement, understanding, and solidarity.

Recognising the Warning Signs

My diagnosis of Type 1 Diabetes came completely out of the blue. I have a healthy diet, I exercise regularly, and am generally pretty fit and healthy. Whilst it was a shock, I was fortunate in that my diagnosis wasn’t quite as traumatic it could have been – and often is for others.

To provide some background, I’ve worn glasses since the age of eight. Sometimes when I’m tired I struggle a little with my sight. Not to any great extent, but enough that I notice my sight being a little worse than normal. 

I work as a teacher. Back in October 2020, coming towards the end of a long and busy half term at school, I noticed that my sight had deteriorated a little. I initially put this down to tiredness, but after a couple of days I found myself struggling to identify the children who were sitting at the back of my classroom. This struck me as out of the ordinary. We were due to visit my parents, who live a couple of hours away, that weekend. I mentioned to Claire, my wife, that I wasn’t sure I should be driving, since I was concerned about my sight. I asked if she mind driving. Claire told me that if I thought my sight was that bad I should go and see the optician. 

From Routine Check-Up to Life-Altering News

I managed to book an appointment with my usual optician on Monday morning, so I called into work sick, and popped along to Vision Express, thinking that this would just be a run-of-the mill appointment, potentially with a slightly stronger prescription dispensed. 

I go to get my eyes checked every couple of years so I know the routine, and also how my eyes respond to the usual tests. This time, however, I could tell that something was wrong. I struggled to identify any of the letters on the chart – even those towards the top. Usually I can get down almost to the bottom row. I felt a mix of concern, worry and upset building within me. This was exacerbated by the obvious concern of my optician, as he worked through the various lenses. 

At the end of the test, my optician said that he was very concerned because my sight had deteriorated significantly since my previous appointment less than a year ago. He recommended that I visit my GP as soon as possible to get checked for potential diabetes. 

After detonating that significant bomb, I was left completely shell shocked and just about managed to pay for my test before struggling out into the street. I immediately called Claire, who is a doctor in A&E. She said that it was highly unlikely that I had diabetes, but that she would take me to A&E to get checked out. 

A couple of hours later I found myself with a verified diagnosis of diabetes, probably Type 1 (which later tests proved accurate), and struggling with the reality that I was now going to have to inject myself with insulin if I was going to survive-not just now, for this first time, but repeatedly, multiple times a day, for the rest of my life. 

Facing the Reality of Type 1 Diabetes

I remember vividly sitting on the sofa that evening, just before dinner, holding an insulin pen in my hand, contemplating injecting myself for the first time. I broke down into tears as I tried to stick the needle into my stomach. I couldn’t do it. Claire kindly offered to do it for me, but I knew that I had to take that first step. This was going to be a regular occurrence, and I had to do it. I had to get over my anxiety and inject myself. I eventually managed to do it, and there began my regular routine of pre-meal injections.

After contacting work to let them know what had happened, my boss kindly gave me a week and a half off work (up to the half term break). This gave me time to try and adapt to my new situation.

One of my memories of the following day was reading through the book on living with Type 1 Diabetes that the nurses had given me. The first few pages were fine, covering basics of what diabetes is, and how to go about injecting myself. The last pages, however, were utterly terrifying, covering the consequences that would ensue if I didn’t manage my diabetes properly. Reading these pages left me deeply upset, worried and concerned about the potential consequences of mismanaging my diabetes.

On those days off work I decided to go walking lots in order to think and reflect, and to try to get some rational understanding to my new situation. I quickly discovered that exercise can be problematic with Type 1 Diabetes; as I walked around the town, I kept feeling weak and disorientated. When I tested my blood sugar with a finger prick check I discovered that I was having a hypo. Again, this left me worried and concerned, but I got into the habit of carrying Dextro Energy tablets with me in order to boost my blood sugar – and also realised that I didn’t always need to inject myself with quite as much insulin.

The following days and weeks were not easy, but as I adjusted to life with T1D I quickly learnt a great deal about how to cope with this chronic disease.

Looking Ahead: Embracing Life with T1D

Reflecting on my journey three years later, I acknowledge the ongoing challenges of living with T1D, yet remain hopeful and resilient in my approach. I also feel inspired to share some of my experiences here with you, hence my decision to start this website.

I don’t claim to have all of the answers. Indeed, I probably don’t have many! At the same time, whilst my diabetes is generally very well managed, I still get thrown the occasional (sometimes not that occasional!) curve ball which knocks me off kilter. Usually I remain happy and cheery, but there are still moments when living with T1D causes me great upset. Generally, though, I’m doing well!

If you would like to share your story or have any questions, please feel free to post comments below, to contact me via the Contact page, or to look me up on my socials (see the menu bar to the right).