Category: Mid Sussex Politics

So who came closest? Analysing Poll Accuracy in the 2024 Mid Sussex Election

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So who came closest?Analysing Poll Accuracy in the 2024 Mid Sussex Election Poll Liberal Democrat Conservative Labour Reform UK Green TOTAL DIFFERENCE ELECTION RESULT 39.6 27.1 17.6 11.1 3.8 N/A Yougov 43 24.5 17.4 11.3 3.7 6.5 Electoral Calculus 45.3 25.1 18 8.3 3.8 10.9 New Statesman 31.5 24.5 18.7 14.8 5.4 17.1 Electionmapsuk 33.2 …

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Meet the new MP for Mid Sussex

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The election of Liberal Democrat Alison Bennett to the parliamentary seat for Mid Sussex represents a significant shift in the political landscape of this traditionally Conservative stronghold. Her victory is a testament to her extensive campaign and the resonance of her platform with the local electorate. Bennett’s academic background includes a degree in Social and …

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**LIB DEMS TAKE MID SUSSEX**

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Result: Liberal Democrat: 21,136 Conservative: 14,474 Labour: 9,397 Reform UK: 5,921 Green: 2,048 Monster Raving Loony Party: 352 Share of the vote: Liberal Democrat: 39.6% Conservative: 27.1% Labour: 17.6% Reform UK: 11.1% Green: 3.8% Monster Raving Loony Party: 0.7% Change since 2019: Liberal Democrat: +14.1% Conservative: -24.2% Labour: -0.4% Reform UK: +11.1% Green: -0.3% Monster …

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**EXIT POLL: MID SUSSEX TOO CLOSE TO CALL, BUT PROBABLE LIB DEM GAIN**

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The exit poll has been published and has stated that the result is “too close to call” in Mid Sussex. That said, the poll gives a 64% chance of a Lib Dem gain and a 36% chance of a Conservative hold. At the past five general elections, the exit poll has been accurate to within …

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**VOTE LIB DEM IN MID SUSSEX**

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Today is election day. Whilst most of the polls (although not all) suggest that the Liberal Democrats will take Mid Sussex, realistically the seat is too close to call. There is still a possibility that the Conservatives could win here. Should the Reform UK supporters decide not to vote for a party in which the …

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Final Yougov MRP: Lib Dem Gain

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The final Yougov MRP data, published minutes ago, will delight Lib Dem supporters. Yougov’s latest data, published minutes ago, suggests that the Lib Dems will take Mid Sussex with a 43% share of the vote. Yougov put the Conservatives in second place with 24.5%, and Labour in third with 17.4%. This suggests a fairly comfortable …

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Final More In Common MRP: Lib Dem Gain

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In marked contrast to the final Survation poll, More In Common’s final MRP suggests the Mid Sussex seat will be a Liberal Democrat gain with 30% of the vote. They put the Conservatives in second place with 28% of the vote, and Labour in third with 24%. This is a marked change from their previous …

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Final Survation MRP: Labour Gain

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Survation, which has consistently predicted that the Labour Party will take Mid Sussex, have published their final MRP poll. This still shows that Labour will gain Mid Sussex-but by a smaller margin. They put Labour on 29.8% – down from 30.6% in their last poll. Meanwhile the Conservatives are on 29.3% in their latest research, …

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Predicting the 2024 Election in Mid Sussex: A Poll Analysis

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I’ve not updated this blog for a while – work has been rather busy. I am now on holiday though, and with the election happening next week, I’m going to try and keep an eye on the polling situation in Mid Sussex. Today I thought we should take a quick look at some of the …

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